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The Arnold Palmer Invitational returns to Bay Hill Club & Lodge near Orlando, Florida. Below, we’ll look for the best value bets in the 2021 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds, with tournament matchups, placings and other PGA Tour prop bet predictions.
The precursor to The Players Championship has several notable omissions from the field, including Dustin Johnson, Jon Rahm and Xander Schauffele. Viktor Hovland is the top golfer in attendance at No. 4 in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings. He’s joined by defending champion Tyrrell Hatton, as well as past API and major champions Rory McIlroy and Francesco Molinari.
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2021 Arnold Palmer Invitational: First-round 3-ball matchups
Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 11:15 a.m. ET.
Gooch/Stanley/Perez (+210)
Victor Perez is last in the Golfweek rankings in this trio, but the European Tour star is 33rd in the Official World Golf Ranking and has three top-10 finishes on his home circuit in his last seven events. He’ll make his debut at Bay Hill but is a strong value with a well-rounded game.
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Burns (+105)/Hoag/Shelton
Sam Burns has a top finish in this event of T-36 last year in three career appearances. He’s an expert putter on Bermuda greens and gained 1.15 strokes per round with the flat stick last year. He’s also averaging 0.51 SG: Off-the-Tee per round for the 2020-21 season.
2021 Arnold Palmer Invitational: Tournament matchups
Bryson DeChambeau vs. Tyrrell Hatton (+105)
The defending champion Hatton is a strong value pick over the reigning US Open champion, even though last year’s event was played in difficult weather conditions. DeChambeau leads this field in SG: Off-the-Tee for the season, but he lost strokes on approach and around the green last week at the WGC-Workday Championship.
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Arnold Palmer Invitational odds, predictions and PGA Tour picksArnold Palmer Invitational Fantasy Golf Power RankingsJason Day vs. Jason Kokrak (-110)
Kokrak is a slight value underdog in this head-to-head tournament matchup. His victory last fall at The CJ Cup came on a comparable course in Shadow Creek, and he’s an expert on Bermuda Greens. He tied for ninth in last week’s elite field while Day finished T-18.
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2021 Arnold Palmer Invitational: Placing bets
Top 10: Henrik Stenson (+1000)
Stenson makes his 2021 PGA Tour debut with three events played but two missed cuts this year on the Euro Tour. The former Open Champion is among the most experienced in the field at this venue with 44 tournament rounds played and an average of 2.00 strokes gained on the field per round.
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Sungjae Im top Asian and Francesco Molinari top European (+4000)
Im leads this field with 2.99 strokes gained per round at Bay Hill and third-place finishes each of the last two years. He finished just T-28 last week but gained strokes off-the-tee and on the greens. Molinari was off last week but seeks to defend his 2019 Bay Hill title after withdrawing last year due to a back injury.
2021 Arnold Palmer Invitational: First-round leader
Sam Burns (+5000)
Burns is +4000 to win this event but is getting a higher price for the 18-hole lead. He’s fourth on the PGA Tour this season in Round 1 scoring average, and he broke 70 in the opening round of two of his three appearances here to date.
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The PGA Tour’s west coast swing continues with this week’s Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines Golf Course just outside of San Diego, California. A strong field includes four of the top seven golfers in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings. Below, we’ll look for the best value bets in the 2021 Farmers Insurance Open betting odds, with tournament matchups, placings and other PGA Tour prop bet predictions.
The tournament will be split between Torrey Pines’ North and South Courses. Both play to a par of 72 but the North Course measures just 7,258 yards and the South Course is 7,765 yards.
2021 Farmers Insurance Open: Matchup bets
Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 5:06 p.m. ET.
Jon Rahm vs. Rory McIlroy (+105)
The marquee matchup of the tournament pits Golfweek’s No. 3 and 7 golfers against each other for the lowest 72-hole score. McIlroy’s coming off a third-place finish at the European Tour’s Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship, while Rahm was forced to withdraw from last week’s American Express due to a back injury.
McIlroy didn’t win last year, but he had a T-3 finish in this event and six other top 10s in 17 total events without a missed cut. Rahm, who won here in 2017 and finished as the runner-up last year, had two PGA Tour victories in 2020.
Both golfers have an affinity for this course, so take the value with McIlroy.
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Farmers Insurance Open odds, predictions and PGA Tour best betsFantasy Golf Power RankingsScottie Scheffler vs. Jason Day (-110)
Day, a two-time winner of this event, is a slight underdog against Scheffler, who missed the cut in his debut in this event last year. Day showed flashes of his former world No. 1 form last summer upon on the PGA Tour’s restart and finished the 2019-20 season with 0.26 Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee and 0.77 SG: Tee-to-Green per round.
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That form with his driver and irons will play well at a course where he has had plenty of success on the greens.
2021 Farmers Insurance Open: Placing bets
Top 5: Gary Woodland (+1000)
Woodland missed the cut here last year following his 2019 US Open win at Pebble Beach Golf Links, but he was T-9 in 2019 and T-10 in 2014. He tied for 16th last week with a strong 0.90 SG: Off-the-Tee per round.
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Top 10: J.B. Holmes (+1600)
Holmes doesn’t have a top-5 finish on Tour since winning the Genesis Invitational in 2019, but he has finished sixth or better in three of his last six trips to Torrey Pines. He was T-16 last year with 1.59 SG: Putting per round and routinely putts well on the Poa Annua surfaces featured on the South Course greens.
Top Continental European: Francesco Molinari (+1100)
Molinari is third in this pool behind Rahm (-150) and Viktor Hovland (+350). We’re hedging against potential injury trouble for Rahm and Hovland’s inexperience at the upcoming 2021 US Open venue. Molinari impressed with a T-8 finish while gaining 1.33 strokes per round from tee-to-green last week.
2021 Farmers Insurance Open: Prop bet
Scheffler, Day and Koepka all to make the cut (+175)
Koepka seems to be the biggest risk in this parlay after missing the cut last week at PGA West. He was putting well but struggled on approach to the green and will play this event for the first time since 2017 while preparing for the year’s third major. Look for him to bring his best game to one of the PGA Tour’s most famous courses.
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