Nascar Richmond Odds

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Nascar Richmond Betting Odds
Nascar Richmond Odds 2020
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Odds taken April 11. ENASCAR Richmond: Date and Time. Date: April 19, 2020; Time: 9 p.m. ET; Where to Watch eNASCAR Richmond. You can tune in to watch eNASCAR Richmond at NASCAR Live with a few additional options brought to you by Fox on cable. Get all the latest predictions, picks & odds for this week right here Read our predictions, odds, betting lines and spreads for the 2021 NASCAR races.

NASCAR Cup Series: Federated Auto Parts 400

Saturday, September 12, 2020 at 7:30 p.m. ET (NBCSN) at Richmond Raceway

The Playoffs Continue

Last race — at Darlington — was the first race in the Round of 16. This round contains two more races, the second of which takes place this Saturday at Richmond Raceway.

Richmond Raceway and Race Info

The Federated Auto Parts 400 is so-called because drivers need to complete 400 laps. There are three Stages. Stage 1 and Stage 2 are both 100 laps each. The final Stage requires 200 laps.

In completing 400 laps, drivers accumulate 300 miles because every lap is three-quarters of a mile long. As such, Richmond counts as a short track. In fact, it brands itself as “America’s Premier Short Track.” In viewing its structure, its shape resembles a D-like oval.

Richmond’s turns have a moderate degree of banking — 14 degrees each. Its front-stretch has eight degrees of banking, which seems unusually high, and its backstretch has two degrees of banking.

The biggest thing to know about Richmond Raceway is that it is very difficult to pass. Drivers have been open in expressing their hope not to start towards the back. Much of the reasoning has to do with the effect of aerodynamics on the cars.

Starting Lineup

Given these details about passing at Richmond, it’s important to remember how starting lineups get determined in the playoffs. NASCAR officials are no longer performing random draws. Instead, there is a weighting system. 35 percent of the calculation is a team’s place in the owner’s standings. 15 percent is a driver’s fastest lap in the previous race. 50 percent is a driver’s finish in the previous race.

Because the driver’s finishing position in his last race is most important, we’re going to need to stay away from investing in Chase Elliott and Martin Truex Jr. Both were involved in a crash at Darlington — which is probably Truex Jr.’s fault for being too aggressive — which cost them dearly in terms of finishing position.

It’s true that playoff drivers will start ahead of all the non-playoff drivers. But still, because Elliott finished 20th and Truex Jr. finished 22nd, each one’s starting position will be far from ideal.

Ruling Out Candidates

I can’t believe that Kevin Harvick again found a way to win another race. Certainly, a victory seemed unlikely and he depended on Truex Jr. and Elliott crashing. But Harvick’s race history at Richmond is less than convincing. He hasn’t won at the track since 2013 when he drove as a member of a different racing team.

When top sportsbooks release their NASCAR odds, I expect him to be among the favored drivers due to his recent performances and his season accolades. Yet it’s hard to expect a driver to win back-to-back. For all of his wins this year, Harvick has only won consecutive races one time and both races were at the same track as part of a doubleheader.

Unofficially, Truex Jr. will start at 14th. I had really liked him because of his positive recent history at this track. However, in each of his last three very solid finishes at Richmond, he started in the top-eight and usually better. 14th is too much of a starting deficit for him.

My Favorite Driver

With my NASCAR Betting Picks, i want to invest in Joey Logano. He’ll start in second place. Logano has this interesting trend of bouncing back from a previous poor performance at Richmond.
In 2012, which is when this trend begins, he finished 30th at Richmond. He then finished third in his next attempt at this track.

After each of his last four finishes at Richmond where he finished 10th or worse, he finished top-three in his next race at Richmond. While his overall average finishing position at this track is unimpressive, this stat reflects his earliest races here. It would be silly to punish him for performances before 2013.

Typically, he’s been strong at this track especially recently. Four of his last six races at Richmond resulted in top-four finishes. Three of those were top-two including one win. He has two career wins at this track.

Overall, Logano has been consistent and he stepped up his game at Darlington with a third-place finish. He brings good overall form into a venue and situation that’s uniquely promising for him.

The Verdict

Joey Logano will be underrated by the betting sites because he doesn’t have some of the overall numbers that other drivers do. But when we zero in on the more important statistics — like recent driver history at this track — and on meaningful trends, then we find massive appeal in betting on Logano.

Look for Bovada to be the first top sportsbook to release its NASCAR odds and be sure to bet on Logano to win.

Best Bet: Joey Logano To Win (Odds TBA)

NASCAR Cup Series driver Martin Truex Jr. brings out a caution after hitting the wall during the Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte Motor Speedway.

The 2020 NASCAR Playoffs will trim the field from 16 drivers competing for the championship to 12 in two weeks, but all 38 drivers at the 2020 Federated Auto Parts 400 will be fighting to take the checkered flag at Richmond Raceway on Saturday night. The green flag drops at 7:30 p.m. ET and with just a 44-point gap between 16th and third position in the 2020 NASCAR standings, there will be a lot on the line when it does. Aric Almirola and Clint Bowyer are currently tied for 12th with 2,033 points and their battle could be an epic one over the next two weekends.

Almirola is at 25-1 in the 2020 Federated Auto Parts 400 odds from William Hill, while Bowyer is listed at 50-1. However, points leader Kevin Harvick and Martin Truex Jr., who won both races at Richmond last season, are the 7-2 co-favorites in the NASCAR at Richmond odds. Before locking your 2020 Federated Auto Parts 400 picks, be sure to see the latest 2020 NASCAR Playoffs at Richmond predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven model at SportsLine.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.

The model began the 2020 NASCAR season by picking Denny Hamlin to win his second consecutive Daytona 500 at 10-1. It got off to a hot start on its NASCAR picks following the coronavirus hiatus as well, calling seven of the top 10 drivers at both Darlington races. Using the model, McClure also recommended an outright play on winner Brad Keselowski at 13-1 as one of his best bets at Bristol in May.

The model also called Kevin Harvick's win at Atlanta and nailed a whopping nine top-10 finishers in that race. McClure also used the model to lock in an outright bet on Hamlin winning at 10-1 at Miami. At The Brickyard, the model called Harvick's fourth victory of the season, and also identified four top-five drivers in the All-Star Race at Bristol. At the Daytona road course, the model called Chase Elliott's win and nailed three of the top four drivers. Anybody who has follow the model has seen huge returns.

Now, the model simulated the NASCAR at Richmond race on Saturday, Sept. 12, 10,000 times. Head here to see the complete projected leaderboard.

Top 2020 Federated Auto Parts 400 predictions

One surprise: The model is high on Joey Logano, even though he's a 14-1 long shot in the latest NASCAR at Richmond odds from William Hill. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Logano enters Saturday night's race at third in the standings, but he's 27 points behind second-place Denny Hamlin and 46 points back from Harvick.

That means he'll need to work his way to the front of the pack to seek stage wins and an overall victory to start eating into that deficit. Luckily for Logano, he's had a lot of success at Richmond Raceway. He won the Toyota Owners 400 there in 2014 and 2017 and has earned a top-four finish there in four of his last six starts.

Nascar Richmond Betting Odds

And a massive shocker: Martin Truex Jr., one of the Vegas co-favorites at 7-2, stumbles big time and barely crack the top five. There are far better values in this loaded field. After winning 23 times the last four seasons, Truex only made it to Victory Lane once during the regular season and then began the 2020 NASCAR Playoffs with a 22nd-place finish at Darlington last week.

Truex is now 57 points back of Harvick in the NASCAR standings and he'll have to start back in 14th at the 2020 Federated Auto Parts 400. Even with wins in each of the last two races at Richmond and a win at Martinsville earlier this season, Truex will have his work cut out to navigate past 13 other NASCAR Cup Series championship contenders at Richmond Raceway on Saturday night.

How to make 2020 Federated Auto Parts 400 picks

The model is also targeting four other drivers with 2020 NASCAR at Richmond odds of 14-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag, including a massive 50-1 long shot. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can only see who they are here.

So who wins Saturday's 2020 Federated Auto Parts 400? And which long shot stuns NASCAR? Check out the latest odds below and then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2020 NASCAR at Richmond leaderboard, all from the model that has crushed its NASCAR picks and nailed the Daytona 500.